CSJ Sagarin 2018 NCAA FCS Playoff Projection – Oct. 21

Using the Sagarin ratings alone to project the FCS playoffs, along with the automatic bid for the conferences that receive a bid, the following would be the playoff teams this week.  These teams are seeded 1 through 24 for the 24 teams that make the FCS playoffs.

As a reminder, the following conferences receive an automatic bid, while 14 teams are selected as at-large picks.

Big Sky Conference
Big South Conference
Colonial Athletic Conference (CAA)
Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC)
Northeast Conference (NEC)
Ohio Valley Conference (OVC)
Patriot League
Pioneer Football League 
Southern Conference
Southland Conference

Top 25 Rankings with playoff spot with the conference name indicating the automatic spot for its conference and then the 14 at-large spots also listed.   See the full Top 25 with the hyperlink.

The number to the left of the school is the overall Sagarin rating.

1  29  North Dakota StateMVFC
2  57  James MadisonCAA
3  74  Northern IowaAt-Large1
4  75  South Dakota StateAt-Large2
5  77  Illinois StateAt-Large3
6  95  Eastern WashingtonBig Sky
  99  Princeton   x (Ivy)
7 102  Kennesaw StateBig South
8 106  UC DavisAt-Large4
9 111  DelawareAt-Large5
10 113  Weber StateAt-Large6
11 114  ElonAt-Large7
 116  Dartmouth   x (Ivy)
12 119  SamfordAt-Large8
13 120  ColgatePatriot
14 122  Stony BrookAt-Large9
15 124  Jacksonville StateOVC
16 127  TowsonAt-Large10
17 128  North DakotaAt-Large11
18 131  Western IllinoisAt-Large12
19 134  South DakotaAt-Large13
20 136  WoffordSoCon
21 137  Idaho StateAt-Large14
22 142  Central ArkansasSouthland
23 202  San DiegoPioneer
24 212  Central ConnecticutNEC
Note that Central Arkansas, Central Connecticut State, and San Diego are currently leading the Southland, NEC, and Pioneer League and would be the last three schools into the field as those conference champions.
Also note that the Ivy League, MEAC, and SWAC do not have autobids.  The MEAC and SWAC champions play in the Celebration Bowl.  The SWAC also plays a championship game so both division champions would not be able to participate but any second place or lower team in either conference would be eligible.
For this week, no MEAC or SWAC schools are in the Top 22 of the standings.  But Princeton and Dartmouth from the Ivy League, who are in the this Top 22 are not eligible for the playoffs due to the Ivy League rule of no postseason play so these two were left off.

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