CSJ Sagarin NCAA FCS Playoff Projection-Oct. 24

I am starting something new this week at CSJ with the NCAA Division I playoff projections using just the CSJ Sagarin rankings to seed the 24 team field. This field is as of today and using the fact that 10 FCS conferences get automatic bids to the field the bracket. The list below showing its conference listed is the project Sagarin conference champion. Then the 14 next highest ranked teams are the at-large teams.

As the season goes on, I will use the six Division I win criteria into account. If there is a team before then cannot possibly get to this total at , I will take them out of the projection. I will do a projection each week up until the actual playoff field is announced on Nov. 19th.

This week there were no adjustments but should there be two conference teams paired together, I will take the the playoff committee suggestion where two teams from the same conference cannot meet in the opening round. But one item that I am doing that takes back to the roots of the Division I FCS playoff field is to seed the full group from #1 to #24 and not look at geography to select the field.

I will repeat that this is as the field sits if the rankings were used to select the field today. As this first project shows, there are eight schools from the Missouri Valley Football Conference. This will likely go down as teams from that league knock each other off and when the six Division I criteria is taken into account.

Overall SeedSchoolPlayoff BidSeed/Placement
1North Dakota StateMissouri Valley#1 Seed
2James MadisonColonial#2 Seed
3Youngstown StateAt-Large 1#3 Seed
4South DakotaAt-Large 2#4 Seed
5Western IllinoisAt-Large 3#5 Seed
6South Dakota StateAt-Large 4#6 Seed
7Northern IowaAt-Large 5#7 Seed
8Jacksonville StateOhio Valley#8 Seed
9Northern ArizonaBig SkyHome 1st Round
10Southern IllinoisAt-Large 6Home 1st Round
11Central ArkansasSouthlandHome 1st Round
12Weber State
At-Large 7Home 1st Round
13Illinois StateAt-Large 8Home 1st Round
14VillanovaAt-Large 9Home 1st Round
15SamfordSoConHome 1st Round
16Sam Houston StateAt-Large 10Home 1st Round
17WoffordAt-Large 11Road 1st Round
18DelawareAt-Large 12Road 1st Round
19FurmanAt-Large 13Road 1st Round
20Southern UtahAt-Large 14Road 1st Round
21Kennesaw StateBig SouthRoad 1st Round
22DuquesneNECRoad 1st Round
23ColgatePatriotRoad 1st Round
24San DiegoPioneerRoad 1st Round

And here are these projections in bracket form.