2020 CSJ Sagarin NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Projections-March 13th
March 14, 2021
The CSJ’s NCAA Men’s Basketball tournament using the Sagarin rankings to field of the 68 teams that make-up the tournament for games through the week of March 13th. This will be the final projections before the actual tournament bracket will be announced later today, Sunday March 14th with this year’s tournament being fully located in the state of Indiana for its duration.
These projections are currently showing Gonzaga as the overall number one seed as the Bulldogs are currently the only undefeated Division I men’s basketball school.
Another High Major team in Houston is also projected as the second #2 seed, while San Diego State is projected to be a #6 seed.
A total of eight High Major and 19 Mid-Major teams are projected to make the Field of 68 teams in this projection.
The only two High Major conferences to get multiple bids are the American Athletic Conference (AAC) with Houston getting the automatic bid and Memphis getting a second bid, while the West Coast Conference (WCC) has Gonzaga with that automatic bid and joined by BYU.
There are, however, five High Major teams in the First Eight Out in the Mountain West’s Utah State, Saint Louis and VCU from the Atlantic 10, and SMU from the AAC.
There are five conference championship games yet to play so based on these projections, Cincinnati and VCU could play their ways as automatic qualifiers from the AAC and Atlantic 10 respectively. Either Colgate or Loyola Maryland will be the Patriot League champion and would be the only team from that conference to get a bid. Both the Power Conferences of the Big 10 and the SEC will send their title game participants based on these projections.
The following are the 26 of the 31 Division I conference tournament champions champions and receive their conference’s automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. Note that the 32nd conference in the Ivy League decided to not play this season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Five conference title games will be played yet today with those automatic bids going out.
Houston vs. Cincinnati (in today’s title game)
VCU vs. St. Bonaventure (in today’s title game)
Ohio State vs. Illinois (in today’s title game)
UC Santa Barbara
Metro Atlantic Athletic (MAAC)
Mid-Eastern Athletic (MEAC)
San Diego State
Mount St. Mary’s
Colgate vs. Loyola Maryland (in today’s title game)
Alabama vs. LSU (in today’s title game)
Southwestern Athletic (SWAC)
Western Athletic (WAC)
Field of 68
The following are the 68 teams based on the Sagarin rankings and using the 32 automatic qualifiers and the 36 at-large qualifers. Note, the teams highlighted in YELLOW are ones from Mid-Major conferences, in GREEN are High Major conferences, and in BLUE are from Major conferences. All teams in bold are either the champions of their respective conferences or the projected champion based on the higher Sagarin ranking.
Each of the seeds are highlighted for the four regions with the exception of the #11, #12, and #16 seeds, which have six teams for the #11 and six for the #16 seeds. These seeds are projections that would play in the First Four games. The eight First Four teams are highlighted on the left in ORANGE and in italics. These teams are the last four at-large teams and the last four automatic qualifying teams.
The top ten seeded High Major and Mid-Major schools are as follows:
Originally from LaMoure, North Dakota, Kent is a 1996 graduate of North Dakota State University. His prior writing experience is over 15 years having previously worked with D2football.com, I-AA.org, and College Sporting News before coming to College Sports Journal in 2016. His main focus is college football in the western half of the United States– the Big Sky Conference and Missouri Valley Football Conference within the Division I FCS. And in 2017, he began also to look at the FBS Group of Five conferences of the American Athletic, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West, and Sun Belt.
Originally from LaMoure, North Dakota, Kent is a 1996 graduate of North Dakota State University. His prior writing experience is over 15 years having previously worked with D2football.com, I-AA.org, and College Sporting News before coming to College Sports Journal in 2016. His main focus is college football in the western half of the United States-- the Big Sky Conference and Missouri Valley Football Conference within the Division I FCS. And in 2017, he began also to look at the FBS Group of Five conferences of the American Athletic, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West, and Sun Belt.