CSJ 2018 Birmingham Bowl Preview Memphis vs. Wake Forest, How to Watch and Fearless Predictions
December 21, 2018
Jared Birmingham Bowl Memphis vs Wake Forest When: Saturday December 22, 2018 Where: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama TV/Streaming: ESPN, WatchESPN (subscription req’d)
Memphis Tigers (8-5, 5-3 American Athletic, 1st American Athletic West)
The best way to describe the 2018 Memphis Tiger football team would be High Event. The Tigers scored 43.6 points per game on offense, but also allowed 31.5 points per game on defense. Every game was a party in the end zone.
In October, Memphis came dangerously close to ending the nation’s longest win streak when they fell to Central Florida 31-30.
The Tigers offense featured their own version of the triplets: quarterback Brady White, running back Darrell Henderson and wide receiver Damonte Coxie. White is a pure pocket passer. He does not add much in the run game. But his arm is unquestioned. On the season, White completed 63% of his passes for 3125 yards and 25 touchdowns against eight interceptions. White’s best game on the season was against ECU where he threw for 362 yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Henderson was virtually unstoppable, averaging just shy of nine yards per carry. Henderson eclipsed the 200 yard mark three times on the season and an astonishing 22 touchdowns. In the pass game, Henderson added 19 catches for 295 yards and three more touchdowns. He was held out of the end zone in only two games all year. Coxie was by far the Tigers leading receiver with 66 catches for 1104 yards and seven touchdowns. Against ECU, Coxie had ten catches for 176 yards and two touchdowns.
Memphis is going to make Wake Forest pick its poison against this offense and exploit the part they don’t focus on
Key Player: QB Brady White struggled in both games against Central Florida this year, but was fairly dominant in every other game this year. If he can assert himself against Wake Forest, the Tiger offense should be able to move the ball at will and put up a lot of points along the way. Wake Forest has an offense that can move the ball, but it is not in the same discussion as the Memphis offense. IF White doesn’t turn the ball over, the Tigers stand a great chance of winning this game.
Fantasy Bonus Baby: RB Darrell Henderson was dominant game in and game out this season. A below average game will put Henderson over the 2000 rushing yard mark this season. He will not have a below average game. Look for him to eclipse his average of 146 yards per game and he will score at least two touchdowns in this game.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-3, 3-5 ACC, 5th in ACC Atlantic Division)
Wake Forest was hoping to take a leap up the ACC standings this year, but the Demon Deacons struggled to a 6-6 record with some inconsistent performances along the way. Wake’s best win was a 27-23 defeat of a ranked NC State team. Other than the win over the Wolfpack, the Demon Deacons lost all of the other games that could have gone either way when you reviewed the matchup prior to the game.
Sam Hartman experienced some growing pains after winning the quarterback competition in camp. The positive for Hartman is that he was able to get valuable game experience as a true freshman. That experience should help him as he progresses through his college career. Hartman did eventually cede the starting job to Jamie Newman for the last three games in the season with the team finishing 2-1.
The best player all year was all purpose stud wide receiver/kick returner Greg Dortch. When the Demon Deacons needed a play, it was usually Dortch called on to make it. The diminutive 5-9 sophomore led the Demon Deacons with 89 catches for 1078 yards and eight touchdowns. Dortch also scored on two punt returns. Many times during the season, Dortch alone was able to flip the field position with a big return or a big catch.
The Demon Deacons will have to have their offense firing on all cylinders in order to keep pace with the high powered Memphis offense in the Birmingham bowl.
Key Player: DB Essang Bassey will be called on to match up with Damonte Coxie on the outside and keep the stud Memphis receiver at bay. Bassey had 14 pass breakups and one interception this year after 16 pass breakups and three interceptions as a sophomore. His season high in pass break ups was five against a similarly strong offense in Syracuse. If Bassey can limit Coxie’s opportunities, the Demon Deacons have a much better chance of picking up the win.
Fantasy Bonus Baby: The ball is always in WR Greg Dortch’s hands in one way or another. He is the engine of the Wake Forest offense. He should have double digit targets and at least seven catches and go over 100 yards. Expect Dortch to find the end zone through the air. He should also have some success in the return game and could break one at any time.
Jamie: Wake Forest has a good offense and an average defense, but Memphis has an explosive offense. The Demon Deacons will not be able to match the scoring ability of the Tigers. Memphis 55, Wake Forest 31
Kent: Memphis turned things around in the second half of the season and was a team that played undefeated UCF the best for the last two years. The Tigers should be able to win this one fairly easy in a high scoring contest. Memphis 41, Wake Forest 28
Chuck: How many good defenses has Memphis faced this season? Losses to Navy, Missouri and a pair to UCF make me at least question how good their “explosive” offense really is, and Wake Forest has shown glimpses of a good offense too (50+ points against Duke and Louisville). I think Wake might surprise the masses here. Wake Forest 45, Memphis 38
Jamie is a proud 2002 graduate of James Madison University. He’s witnessed the growth of the program from no one in the stands in 1998, to the hiring of Mickey Matthews, to the 2004 National Championship, to the 2008 team, to the struggles in the early 2010s, and finally the rebuild under Mike Houston. He also allegedly really enjoys Washington, DC-based Stanley Cup winners.
Jamie is a proud 2002 graduate of James Madison University. He's witnessed the growth of the program from no one in the stands in 1998, to the hiring of Mickey Matthews, to the 2004 National Championship, to the 2008 team, to the struggles in the early 2010s, and finally the rebuild under Mike Houston. He also allegedly really enjoys Washington, DC-based Stanley Cup winners.Reach him at: